• S&P 500: 1,341.94
  • Change: -0.74%
$35.21 -0.13 (-0.37%)
2/10/2012 11:59 AM

P.F. Chang's China Bistro (NASDAQ:PFCB)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

Owner and operator of a number of full service restaurants that feature a blend of high quality, traditional Chinese cuisine and American hospitality in a contemporary bistro setting.

Current Price $35.21 Mkt Cap $786.60M
Open $34.86 P/E Ratio 14.00
Prev. Close $35.34 Div. (Yield) 1.00 (N/A)
Daily Range $34.61 - $35.24 Volume 191,862
52-Wk Range $26.10 - $51.74 Avg. Daily Vol. 0

Caps

How do you think PFCB will perform against the market?

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All Players

140 Outperform
93 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

50 Outperform
31 Underperform
 

Wall Street

6 Outperform
6 Underperform
 

Top PFCB Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

SarahGen (99.83)
Submitted August 10, 2011

CFO buying - nice. My favorite kind of insider buying

NetscribeRstrnts (83.04)
Submitted January 16, 2007

P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, Inc. is America’s largest Asian theme restaurant. The company operates three concepts, which include 142 locations of P.F. Chang’s China Bistro, 97 units of Pei Wei Asian Diner and 1 test unit of Taneko Japanese Tavern. The… More

PFCB VS S&P 500 (SPY)

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Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about PFCB.

Recs

1
Member Avatar SarahGen (99.83) Submitted: 8/9/2011 10:18:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $29.49 PFCB Score: +1.99

CFO buying - nice. My favorite kind of insider buying

Recs

0
Member Avatar apex1k (54.95) Submitted: 8/1/2011 12:50:49 PM : Outperform Start Price: $31.68 PFCB Score: +5.37

Solid restaurants, lots of expansion opportunities - especially for Pei Wei - trading at reasonable multiple with good balance sheet. Hurt hard by exposure to southwest US, will bounce back quickly as that region picks up in next few years.

Recs

2
Member Avatar TMF1000 (99.79) Submitted: 5/6/2011 11:49:37 AM : Outperform Start Price: $38.82 PFCB Score: -9.24

They reported $0.46 per share for the quarter. But during the quarter several restaurants were closed due to identity theft. This cost the company $0.04 per share for the quarter. This will be a temporary problem. But they expect this to affect them further in 2011. They also said commodity prices are going up. I think the lower oil prices should help some and many commodities are going down which should positively affect food costs for them – hopefully.

They are still growing well and their PE of 18 is fair enough. I dropped them from Caps after the report but the 11% drop in my opinion was plenty of a discount to re-up it in Caps.

They pay out a varying dividend which is capped at 45% of net earnings. In the quarter, they paid to shareholder $0.21. In the fourth quarter it was $0.29. Next quarter it could be higher or lower. But it should remain a healthy dividend.

They produced $85 million or about $3.70 per share in cash flow for fiscal 2010. I think that is very impressive considering it also included capital expenditures of $39 million, though down from about $49 million last year.

I was able to get the price of 39.43 on caps that is a PE of 18.78 and a cash flow yield of 10.7% based on TTM cash flow per share of $4.22 at the end of the first quarter 2011. Cash flow for the quarter was $14.4 million up from $2.9 million last year even though they spent about the same amount in capital expenditures.

They have only 201 Bistro restaurants and 171 Pei Wei restaurants. They are funding growth through cash flow. I think they have some interesting growth potential.

They have only $1.2 million in debt and $72 million in cash. CAKE PE is 22.48 which is higher than PFCB 18.78. I don't think they will have an trouble beating the S&P500 in the next five years if oil prices behave.

This is one restaurant stock I don't own yet, but it is one I think I will add. I haven't done a very close study of them though I have been watching them for many years. Does anyone have additional information on them?

tom e

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in PFCB.

Score Leader

Saluki89

Saluki89 (80.69) Score: +131.81

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in PFCB.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
mghaynes1 60.54 1/9/2008 Outperform NS $20.14 +74.68% +0.70% +73.99 0 Comment
cptmartini66 < 20 1/4/2008 Outperform 5Y $20.66 +70.30% -2.29% +72.59 0 Comment
moakes22 95.11 1/2/2008 Outperform 3Y $21.47 +63.84% -4.69% +68.53 0 Comment
morningstarboy 43.29 12/19/2007 Outperform NS $22.11 +59.15% -3.12% +62.26 1 Comment
dancan5000 < 20 12/21/2007 Outperform NS $22.99 +53.04% -4.96% +58.00 1 Comment
jorgetrader 70.69 1/11/2008 8/12/2009 Outperform 5Y $23.00 +52.97% -0.32% +53.30 0 Comment
RRICKS1 41.73 1/22/2008 Outperform 3Y $22.02 +59.77% +10.10% +49.67 0 Comment
RoBoPiCkEr 53.44 4/27/2009 Underperform 3Y $31.45 +11.08% +58.20% +47.12 0 Comment
BGriffinFlorida 26.52 4/27/2009 Underperform 3M $31.16 +12.10% +56.54% +44.43 0 Comment
ExploitTopFools 99.17 9/17/2010 Underperform 5Y $44.89 -22.19% +18.76% +40.95 0 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackMillerTabak 25.50 1/4/2012 Outperform NS $31.67 +10.29% +5.54% +4.75 0 Comment
TrackZacks 71.09 10/19/2011 Underperform 3M $26.40 +32.31% +10.83% -21.48 1 Comment
TrackArgus 90.25 8/3/2011 Underperform NS $30.65 +13.97% +6.84% -7.13 0 Comment
TrackMorganJos 60.03 8/18/2010 Outperform NS $41.55 +9.03% +8.67% +0.35 10/28/2010 @ $45.30 0 Comment
TrackJanney 87.04 1/11/2010 Underperform NS $35.96 +23.28% +1.63% -21.64 3/26/2010 @ $44.33 0 Comment
TrackJesupLamont 53.55 12/29/2009 Outperform NS $37.54 -6.94% +18.79% -25.74 0 Comment
TrackRBCCapMkts 93.35 11/3/2009 Outperform NS $30.18 +12.34% +25.36% -13.02 7/28/2011 @ $33.90 0 Comment
TrackArgus 90.25 6/11/2009 Outperform NS $33.25 -6.34% +32.70% -39.03 8/3/2011 @ $31.14 0 Comment
TrackWMBlair 89.97 2/13/2009 Outperform NS $19.28 +81.21% +63.53% +17.68 0 Comment
TrackOppenheimer 79.32 9/12/2008 Underperform NS $23.71 +47.34% +11.45% -35.89 0 Comment
TrackPiperJaff 89.10 7/17/2008 Outperform NS $23.28 +50.07% +10.65% +39.42 0 Comment
TrackJefferies 84.67 7/16/2008 Outperform NS $23.02 +51.76% +13.79% +37.97 0 Comment
TrackWedbush 84.89 3/26/2008 Underperform NS $29.36 -19.28% -8.46% +10.82 7/16/2008 @ $23.70 0 Comment
TrackFBRCapitalM 84.55 3/26/2008 Underperform NS $27.85 +26.32% +3.65% -22.67 0 Comment
TrackCreditSuiss 92.68 9/25/2007 Underperform NS $29.73 +18.33% -6.64% -24.97 0 Comment
TrackMorganKeeg 85.64 2/14/2007 Outperform NS $38.54 -8.73% -1.40% -7.33 0 Comment
TrackOppenheimer 79.32 2/1/2007 Outperform NS $39.83 -40.32% -13.52% -26.80 9/12/2008 @ $23.77 0 Comment
TrackBearStearns 94.75 1/8/2007 Underperform NS $37.10 -10.49% +6.40% +16.88 7/26/2007 @ $33.21 0 Comment
TrackRBCCapMkts 93.35 9/14/2006 Outperform NS $37.79 -14.71% -35.70% +20.99 4/23/2009 @ $32.23 0 Comment
TrackJimCramer 78.18 3/20/2006 Underperform 3W $45.88 -23.32% +10.33% +33.66 0 Comment

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