• S&P 500: 1,351.95
  • Change: 0.15%
$19.48 -0.24 (-1.22%)
2/9/2012 4:00 PM

Ingram Micro, Inc. (NYSE:IM)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

The Company and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the distribution of information technology products and supply chain solutions worldwide.

Current Price $19.48 Mkt Cap $3.07B
Open $0.00 P/E Ratio 10.20
Prev. Close $19.72 Div. (Yield) N/A (N/A)
Daily Range $19.18 - $19.65 Volume 1,317,572
52-Wk Range $15.45 - $21.63 Avg. Daily Vol. 0

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All Players

175 Outperform
14 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

70 Outperform
3 Underperform
 

Wall Street

4 Outperform
2 Underperform
 

Top IM Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

heals07 (68.94)
Submitted May 13, 2011

I took a long time deciding whether to go long or short this one. I began my analysis by looking at the Free Cash flows. My intention was to do a free cash flow valuation but I ran into some difficulties when I noticed all past years free cash flows… More

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IM VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about IM.

Recs

0
Member Avatar btthus (66.47) Submitted: 7/8/2011 3:52:25 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.31 IM Score: +5.68

Price to Earnings (P/E) ?   9.70   AVG
Price to Book (P/B) ?   0.868   LOW
Price to Sales (P/S) ?   0.0837   VERY LOW
Return on Assets (ROA) ?   4.4%   AVG
Return on Equity (ROE) ?   9.4%   AVG
EV/EBITDA ?   7.74   AVG
Dividend Yield   0%   AVG

Recs

1
Member Avatar heals07 (68.94) Submitted: 5/12/2011 10:08:50 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.87 IM Score: +3.08

I took a long time deciding whether to go long or short this one. I began my analysis by looking at the Free Cash flows. My intention was to do a free cash flow valuation but I ran into some difficulties when I noticed all past years free cash flows were basically negative (16 years of data). The equation I used was EBIT(1-t)+ dep - capital exp- ?NWC. The firm list a change in nwc amount in their cash flow statement, but I used the balance sheet to get my number and it always differed from the statement of cash flows. Wasn't sure what to think about this. When I realized a normal valuation wasn't going to really work I began looking at a buyout valuation. For the last fiscal year end, Ingram had EV/EBIT and EV/EBITDA of 11.85 and 9.931 respectively. Ingram's twelve trailing month EV/EBIT and EV/EBITDA of 10.663 and 9.06. NYU provides these ratios for every stock in the US market, using a pivot table I was able to sort the information and see only the stocks in Ingram's industry and their corresponding ratios. I then averaged the EV/EBIT and EV/EBITDA of all the companies to come up with average ratios of 23.44 and 13.32 respectively.
From what I have seen most deals reference a EV/EBITDA multiple.
According to my analysis an acquiring firm would pay market value $4,792.62 million for Ingram. This is a 57% premium to the current stock price. The total cost of to acquire the firm would only be $4,430.73. This is because the buyout ratio predicts a price of $5449.62 for the buyout. Ingram has $1018.88 million in cash which reduces the acquiring company's purchase price.
The company looks cheap historically on these ratios, I cant short a company that has a potential to be bought out with a 57% premium. Real life I look to enter at $16.40's.

Recs

0
Member Avatar TomFoolNC (97.46) Submitted: 5/10/2011 1:51:09 PM : Outperform Start Price: $18.84 IM Score: +3.52

Kian Ghazi- Hawkshaw Capital Management - VIC

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in IM.

Score Leader

5000monkey

5000monkey (96.99) Score: +41.21

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in IM.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
MariHelen 63.46 11/24/2008 Outperform 5Y $9.53 +104.41% +69.52% +34.89 0 Comment
Timh0rt0n 97.56 11/28/2008 Outperform 5Y $10.47 +86.06% +56.69% +29.37 0 Comment
seamadan 78.95 2/28/2008 Outperform 1Y $15.74 +23.76% +2.96% +20.80 0 Comment
neve150 < 20 3/18/2008 Outperform 3Y $15.34 +26.99% +7.03% +19.95 1 Comment
MSFOBV1YH < 20 11/4/2009 Underperform 5Y $17.96 +8.46% +28.29% +19.83 0 Comment
39272x4 < 20 11/11/2009 Underperform 5Y $18.90 +3.07% +22.71% +19.64 0 Comment
ToeFundamental 96.92 3/10/2008 Outperform NS $15.20 +28.16% +8.67% +19.48 0 Comment
sleepyviper 76.24 3/14/2008 Outperform 3M $15.52 +25.52% +6.25% +19.27 0 Comment
StockMarketBeat 93.36 4/3/2008 Outperform 1Y $15.94 +22.21% +3.14% +19.07 1 Comment
mtbrady06 59.92 3/4/2008 Outperform 1Y $15.67 +24.31% +6.35% +17.97 1 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackNeedham 92.43 10/18/2011 Outperform NS $16.90 +16.69% +12.64% +4.05 2/9/2012 @ $19.25 0 Comment
TrackZacks 70.75 6/22/2011 Underperform 3M $17.68 +10.18% +5.20% -4.98 1 Comment
TrackBrandes < 20 12/31/2010 Outperform NS $19.09 +2.04% +8.64% -6.59 0 Comment
TrackEinhorn 98.68 9/30/2010 Outperform NS $16.86 +15.54% +19.75% -4.21 0 Comment
TrackZacks 70.75 9/22/2010 Outperform 3M $16.12 +24.26% +14.66% +9.59 3/14/2011 @ $20.03 1 Comment
TrackZacks 70.75 7/30/2010 Underperform 3M $16.53 -2.48% +2.86% +5.34 9/22/2010 @ $16.12 1 Comment
TrackZacks 70.75 6/8/2010 Outperform 3M $16.36 +7.33% +5.18% +2.16 6/18/2010 @ $17.56 1 Comment
TrackGoldmanSach 71.30 5/3/2010 Outperform 5Y $18.62 -2.90% +10.47% -13.37 5/24/2011 @ $18.08 1 Comment
TrackNeedham 92.43 3/4/2010 Outperform NS $17.89 +16.43% +18.16% -1.73 3/31/2011 @ $20.83 0 Comment
TrackTWeisel 91.88 1/25/2010 Outperform NS $18.19 +7.09% +22.82% -15.73 0 Comment
TrackBreanMurray 69.41 1/25/2010 Outperform NS $18.19 +4.73% +23.60% -18.87 4/29/2011 @ $19.05 0 Comment
TrackLehmanBros 88.86 12/3/2007 Outperform NS $19.69 -0.96% -0.30% -0.67 12/3/2007 @ $19.50 0 Comment
TrackBroadpointAmTech 90.21 10/26/2007 Outperform NS $20.79 -6.30% -7.17% +0.87 0 Comment
TrackJimCramer 78.02 8/14/2007 Underperform 3W $18.94 +2.85% -0.36% -3.21 0 Comment
TrackNeedham 92.43 8/10/2007 Outperform NS $18.29 -28.54% -41.26% +12.72 1/30/2009 @ $13.07 0 Comment
TrackBofASec 96.89 8/7/2007 Outperform NS $19.40 -0.46% -11.16% +10.70 8/18/2008 @ $19.31 0 Comment
TrackCitigroup 93.11 6/11/2007 Outperform NS $21.92 -23.59% -34.23% +10.64 7/31/2009 @ $16.75 0 Comment

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