• S&P 500: 1,338.46
  • Change: -1.00%
$9.53 -0.03 (-0.31%)
2/10/2012 2:52 PM

Franklin Covey Co. (NYSE:FC)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

The Company provides integrated consulting, training, and performance enhancement solutions to organizations and individuals in strategy execution, productivity, leadership, sales force effectiveness, effective communications, and other areas.

Current Price $9.53 Mkt Cap $162.89M
Open $9.41 P/E Ratio 837.00
Prev. Close $9.53 Div. (Yield) N/A (N/A)
Daily Range $9.41 - $9.55 Volume 2,000
52-Wk Range $6.25 - $12.15 Avg. Daily Vol. 0

Caps

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All Players

35 Outperform
7 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

7 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Wall Street

1 Outperform
0 Underperform
 

Top FC Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

speedclimb (< 20)
Submitted April 02, 2010

FranklinCovey is adjusting to the changes in market factors and adapting marketing strategies which include social networking like the www.StephenCovey.com community.

Dobbes (< 20)
Submitted January 08, 2010

Franklin Covey has always been a laggard it seems. Equity holders are being elbowed out as 2009 was the second year in a row that total liabilities were higher than total equity. Additional debt financing will be costly under this capital structure… More

FC VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about FC.

Recs

0
Member Avatar XMFConnor (95.47) Submitted: 6/23/2011 2:47:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $7.90 FC Score: +20.37

FC is an undervalued, underfollowed name that is in a period of transition. It is about to see rapid growth in FCF as their international licensee revenue continues to expand, which almost 100% of it translates into FCF. Furthermore, the company's Client Partners is expected to double and they represent an excellent ROI for FC.

The analyst from Credit Suisse, James DeYoung, sums up the opportunity well by saying,

“If there are accretive acquisitions to be made, that's a better use for the cash, I'm all for it. I'm just sitting here looking at a business that's trading at 3.7 times enterprise value to EBITDA on next year's numbers and 5.5 times free cash flow to enterprise value. So, just makes no sense when you look at the comps and we're growing faster than the comps."

Below, I have valued the International Licensee business all by itself. I think that it is worth the entire market cap of the company.. which means you get the rest of the business for free (the terminal rate assumes a 12.5X exit multiple, which is pretty conservative for a fast-growing licensee business). This is one of my highest conviction picks over the next three years.

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Growth Rate 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12%
International License Royalties 9.2 10.3 11.5 12.9 14.5 16.2 18.2
Tax Rate 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
FCF 6.2 6.9 7.8 8.7 9.7 10.9

NPV 34.18
Terminal 108.96

Value 143.14

Recs

1
Member Avatar speedclimb (< 20) Submitted: 4/2/2010 2:23:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $7.71 FC Score: +9.77

FranklinCovey is adjusting to the changes in market factors and adapting marketing strategies which include social networking like the www.StephenCovey.com community.

Recs

3
Member Avatar Dobbes (< 20) Submitted: 1/8/2010 2:53:34 PM : Underperform Start Price: $6.26 FC Score: -33.56

Franklin Covey has always been a laggard it seems.

Equity holders are being elbowed out as 2009 was the second year in a row that total liabilities were higher than total equity. Additional debt financing will be costly under this capital structure and it will be difficult for the firm to find the financing required to grow.

Growth however, is the last thing the stock seems to plan on doing. Net income has been negative in the past 7 of 10 years with negative operating income in 5 of the past 10 years. Revenue streams are steadily eroding as the Covey brand continues to lose steam from its blockbuster business books of yesteryear. By almost any measure the firm is shrinking like winter caps in the dryer.

Whats more is the falloff has begun to accelerate in the past 3 years. Revenues have committed hari kari since 2007.
With their most recent fiscal year end, accounts payable is higher than cash and cash equivalents for the second time in the past 3 years. Given that there is a very real chance at posting a negative operating income even in good economic conditions, the fact that there is not enough cash on hand to pay suppliers can be a very real and imminent cause of financial stress for the company. I just don't see the story ending well...

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in FC.

Score Leader

AnttiOfFinland

AnttiOfFinland (53.14) Score: +72.99

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in FC.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
AnttiOfFinland 53.14 10/10/2006 Outperform 3Y $5.33 +78.24% +5.25% +72.99 1 Comment
contraguy 23.66 11/7/2006 Outperform 1Y $5.73 +65.79% +3.02% +62.77 2 Comments
bush08hal 74.36 10/17/2006 Outperform 1Y $5.76 +64.93% +4.44% +60.49 0 Comment
wallen99 81.23 10/12/2007 Outperform 5Y $7.14 +33.05% -9.91% +42.96 0 Comment
MRTBuys 61.44 10/9/2007 Outperform NS $7.36 +29.07% -9.68% +38.75 0 Comment
vbh126 71.90 2/8/2007 Outperform 5Y $7.00 +35.71% -1.65% +37.37 0 Comment
jmwhosh 26.72 2/5/2007 Outperform 3Y $7.02 +35.33% -1.60% +36.93 0 Comment
rogerbecker1 < 20 1/4/2007 Outperform 3M $6.90 +37.68% +0.82% +36.86 1 Comment
whatsinaname2 < 20 2/12/2007 Outperform 3Y $7.10 +33.80% -1.08% +34.88 0 Comment
JECote1976 < 20 2/12/2007 Outperform 1Y $7.10 +33.80% -1.08% +34.88 0 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackBarrington 95.22 7/20/2009 Outperform NS $6.30 +50.79% +42.36% +8.43 0 Comment

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