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2/10/2012 3:59 PM

eHealth, Inc. (NASDAQ:EHTH)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

An online source of health insurance for individuals, families and small businesses. Its services enable individuals, families and small businesses to research, analyze, compare and purchase health insurance products that meet its needs.

Caps

How do you think EHTH will perform against the market?

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All Players

83 Outperform
20 Underperform
 

All-Star Players

29 Outperform
10 Underperform
 

Wall Street

3 Outperform
1 Underperform
 

Top EHTH Bull/Bear Pitches

The best Bull and Bear pitches based on recency and number of recommendations.

rknapton (64.44)
Submitted July 09, 2010

Growing revenues nicely. Up to $154 million for this years top line estimates, from $87 million in 2007. Trading at 18 times earnings it seems reasonably valued, until you look at their balance sheet. The market cap of this company is $270 million,… More

dgoldenz (20.01)
Submitted July 28, 2010

Health reform will kill this company. Not enough commissions in post-reform era to justify massive marketing costs in gaining new customers. Average customer leaves eHealth to change plans or finds a broker with personal service instead of a call… More

EHTH VS S&P 500 (SPY)

Recent Community Commentary

Read the most recent pitches from players about EHTH.

Recs

0
Member Avatar yimhappy (< 20) Submitted: 2/23/2011 6:10:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $12.23 EHTH Score: +23.30

This stock was clobbered hard over concern about the "Medical Loss Ratio"(MLR) requirement in the health care reform bill in section 2718. Well, the worst has happened and eHealth still remains cash generating.

The MLR requirement requires health insurance carriers to spend 80% of all individual health plan premiums on clinical services or activities improving health care, excluding taxes. In other words, only 20% of premium revenue was left for administrative costs like paying commissions to brokers like eHealth.

Everyone knew that health insurers would have to reduce premiums starting 2011. Only recently has the CEO, Gary Lauer, discussed this. Now, investers have been told that eHealth's cut of premium revenue has gone from 10% to ~7%. The other shoe has dropped. The "worst" requirement of Health Care Reform has hit, dropping eHealth's primary source of revenue by 30+%. ~7% is still a good share.

However, eHealth guidance still forcast generation of over $20+ million profit for 2011. eHealth's balance sheet still has over $100 million in cash, despite buy back stock purchases in 2010. More buy backs might occur in 2011.

eHealth has moved agressively into other revenue producing areas, sales of Medicare plans, and hosting government health exchanges.

eHealth won the HHS service contract to power insurance quotes for the national health insurance exchange (links below). eHealth has won state exchange contracts for Florida, Utah, and Massachusetts. For years, eHealth has hosted carrier quote & apply web sites. In other words, commissions are not eHealth's only source of revenue.
https://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=b2e0193cd8b04c1c17e5b70ce1e87976&tab=core&_cview=0

http://www.kaiserhealthnews.org/Stories/2010/July/30/ehealth-gets-web-portal-contract.aspx

Also, eHealth should not be compared to all the other web sites that just quote rates for health insurance. Unlike these other companies, eHealth doesn't just gather leads.

eHealth is a top broker for most health insurance carriers, across 50 states. It takes years to become licensed and appointed to sell health insurance for hundreds of carriers across 50 states. For many carriers, eHealth has been a top broker for 10 years or more. eHealth technology has eliminated the need for backend paper application processing for many carriers. eHealth will do better than most brokers.

Recs

0
Member Avatar 21popsontop (< 20) Submitted: 10/25/2010 2:09:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.97 EHTH Score: -2.75

A little late on this longshot. Will have to catch him next go around,as he he will still be here regardless of opinions. Eats reform for a snack.

Recs

1
Member Avatar dgoldenz (20.01) Submitted: 7/28/2010 10:53:47 AM : Underperform Start Price: $11.66 EHTH Score: -11.16

Health reform will kill this company. Not enough commissions in post-reform era to justify massive marketing costs in gaining new customers. Average customer leaves eHealth to change plans or finds a broker with personal service instead of a call center.

Leaderboard

Find the members with the highest scoring picks in EHTH.

Score Leader

TrackStifel

TrackStifel (96.18) Score: +73.73

The Score Leader is the player with the highest score across all their picks in EHTH.

Top
Pick
Member Name Member
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
Index
Gain
Score Commentary
NeedhelpAlways62 68.46 4/27/2009 5/25/2009 Underperform NS $17.12 -10.11% +58.33% +68.44 0 Comment
BetapegAnalytics 20.67 8/17/2009 Underperform 5Y $16.23 -5.18% +36.58% +41.75 0 Comment
raehae < 20 4/2/2008 Underperform 3Y $24.40 -36.93% +1.45% +38.38 1 Comment
oldschoolpicker 36.79 10/16/2006 Underperform 3M $23.00 -33.09% +4.47% +37.55 2 Comments
CivilizedBarcode < 20 3/15/2007 Underperform 3Y $22.67 -32.11% +2.62% +34.73 0 Comment
jarhead6266 29.27 4/11/2007 Underperform NS $21.99 -30.01% -1.71% +28.31 0 Comment
oxford56 < 20 12/7/2006 Underperform 3Y $20.99 -26.68% +0.58% +27.26 1 Comment
mttheriault5 74.92 9/1/2010 Outperform 1Y $10.27 +49.85% +25.89% +23.97 0 Comment
yimhappy < 20 2/24/2011 Outperform 5Y $12.23 +25.84% +2.53% +23.30 1 Comment
jedgrace 65.78 1/18/2011 Outperform 3Y $12.25 +25.63% +4.01% +21.62 0 Comment

Wall Street

See what the Wall Street professionals think, according to their public statements and filings.

Player Name Player
Rating
Start
Date
Call Time
Frame
Start
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
Score End Date Commentary
TrackStifel 96.18 7/28/2010 Outperform NS $11.74 +31.94% +11.42% +20.52 12/10/2010 @ $15.49 0 Comment
TrackWWeitz 95.05 6/30/2010 Outperform NS $11.37 +35.36% +32.13% +3.23 0 Comment
TrackJMP 84.95 9/9/2009 Underperform NS $17.86 -27.32% +5.61% +32.94 5/20/2010 @ $12.98 0 Comment
TrackOppenheimer 79.13 5/28/2009 Underperform NS $14.67 -19.97% +23.04% +43.01 7/28/2010 @ $11.74 0 Comment
TrackArgus 90.28 3/6/2009 Outperform NS $13.40 +28.06% +49.32% -21.26 9/3/2009 @ $17.16 0 Comment
TrackStifel 96.18 12/3/2008 Outperform NS $9.74 +69.92% +16.70% +53.21 7/29/2009 @ $16.55 0 Comment
TrackCowenandCo 84.27 10/1/2008 Outperform NS $16.96 -9.26% +19.70% -28.95 0 Comment
trackmerriman 70.89 8/27/2008 Outperform NS $14.28 -3.85% -19.91% +16.06 10/2/2009 @ $13.73 0 Comment
TrackSoros 92.67 3/31/2008 Outperform NS $22.07 -30.27% +5.58% -35.85 1 Comment
TrackJefferies 84.73 12/19/2007 Outperform NS $30.38 -48.49% -26.87% -21.62 2/12/2010 @ $15.65 0 Comment
TrackSwensen 25.62 9/30/2007 Outperform NS $27.70 +15.92% -4.17% +20.10 12/31/2007 @ $32.11 1 Comment
TrackTWeisel 91.97 11/22/2006 Underperform NS $21.99 -30.01% +1.25% +31.26 0 Comment
TrackJMP 84.95 11/22/2006 Outperform NS $21.99 -53.02% -10.49% -42.53 8/1/2008 @ $10.33 0 Comment

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