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  • S&P 500: 1,070.52
  • Change: 1.30%
$21.64 0.30 (1.41%)
2/9/2010 4:00 PM

The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE)

CAPS Rating:
**

Operates upscale, full-service, casual dining restaurants under The Cheesecake Factory® and Grand Lux Cafe® marks. The Company also operates one self-service, limited menu express foodservice operation under The Cheesecake Factory Express® mark.

Rating a stock in CAPS consists of three components:

Your call - Will this stock outperform or underperform the S&P 500? Successful picks are measured in terms of whether or not you were correct and by how many percentage points.

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Your pitch - Here's your chance to offer more detailed thoughts, analysis, concerns, or the rationale behind your call. The pitch is optional and may be added later.

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What the Community Thinks

Total Members

480 Outperforms
153 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

135 Outperforms
36 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

9 Outperforms
5 Underperforms
 

Members bullish on CAKE are also bullish on:

Members bearish on CAKE are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Dine-in Restaurant (13), Consumer Discretionary (795), Options Backdating (?) (95), Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure (141), Small Cap (1645), Growth (1902), Cyclical (3415), Distressed (1597), It's a Food! (5)
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The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. At A Glance

Current Price: $21.64
Last Trade Time: 2/9/2010 4:00 PM
Open: $0.00
Previous Close: $21.34
Daily Range: $21.34 - $21.85
52-Week Range: $6.84 - $23.09
Volume: 1,176,536
Market Cap: $1.30B
P/E Ratio: 25.11
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Stock Trends

CAKE VS S&P 500 (SPY)

News & Discussion Boards

Top Bull Pitch

Recs

10

The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE)

Avatar TheGolden13 (97.12) Submitted: 12/02/09 11:39 AM

OK folks, we have a value investor’s winner here!!! Look at its price chart over the past ten years and you can see that it, on average, has outpaced both the Dow and the S&P. This is in the face of an early decade recession and the current Depression 2. How does a quirky restaurant like CAKE ge...More

Replies: 2 | Reply | Permalink

Top Bear Pitch

Recs

1

The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE)

Avatar jstegma (99.66) Submitted: 4/16/09 12:54 PM

Ads in the menu are not my idea of upscale. I guess I just don't get this restaurant, but then I hate malls and cheesecake, so I'm probably not their target audience.

The name doesn't help either. It sounds too much like "cottage cheese factory", which is what women's thighs turn into when they e...More

Replies: 0 | Reply | Permalink

CAPS Members

picks per page. CHANGE

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Show Pitch Replies

Recs

0

 (CAKE)

Avatar SUPERMANSTOCKS (27.04) Submitted: 1/23/10 3:21 PM : Outperform Start Price: $21.57 CAKE Score: 3.04

This CAKE has been yummy for years! I have seen this the first time CNBC had a short story on it and have been following it since. Although it got caught up in the pull back of March 09. It is still cheap and the growth of the company is motivating! I say BUY BUY BUY! When I get my tax return check I will be doing just that

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Recs

10

 (CAKE)

Avatar TheGolden13 (97.12) Submitted: 12/02/09 11:39 AM : Outperform Start Price: $19.53 CAKE Score: 13.78

OK folks, we have a value investor’s winner here!!! Look at its price chart over the past ten years and you can see that it, on average, has outpaced both the Dow and the S&P. This is in the face of an early decade recession and the current Depression 2. How does a quirky restaurant like CAKE generate its' net income? Let’s take a closer look at some of its' internal workings. First debt...worst case scenario it would pay out a little less than .50 on the dollar if it went heads up. Since it hasn't increased outstanding shares over the past ten years, seems to indicate good management. Its debt/equity ratio is .29 versus S&P's ratio of $1.11. So we can easily see CAKE isn't using debt to aggressively generate revenue. Many other positive indicators but lets move on. Its current P/E of 22.87 is lower than its ten year average of 27.5. Its depreciation and amortization is about 22% of its gross profits over the past five years which again shows smart management. Its gross profit margin has been about 20% over the past ten years, not great but definitely worth the risk. Now value investors, listen up. I calculate based on CAKE's last ten years of share holder's equity and current price that it is greatly undervalued. As a rough rule of thumb, I would say that it is going for 23% of what the current price should be for a 20% return over the next ten years. I can go on but I don't want to get one of those charms that show lengthily pitches. After I max out Hersey's, I am definitely turning to CAKE.

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Recs

0

 (CAKE)

Avatar Buckaneer (< 20) Submitted: 6/02/09 4:22 PM : Underperform Start Price: $16.02 CAKE Score: -16.67

HaHaHa!!!!!! Strapped consumer, layoffs, higher oil and commodity prices - has been purely a momo play without NO REGARD to fundamentals.

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Recs

0

 (CAKE)

Avatar MRSTARBUCKS (93.08) Submitted: 5/19/09 2:54 PM : Outperform Start Price: $16.14 CAKE Score: 16.10

GOOD CHEESECAKES

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Recs

0

 (CAKE)

Avatar COOLSTOCK (68.71) Submitted: 5/13/09 2:47 PM : Outperform Start Price: $14.17 CAKE Score: 30.52

good cheesecakes

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Wall Street

Results 1 - 14 of 14  

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick
Member NameMember RatingStart
Date
CallTime FrameStart
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
ScorePitch
TrackJanney 74.68 01/11/10 Underperform NS $21.21+2.03%-6.83%-8.86
TrackJesupLamont < 20 09/15/09 Underperform NS $19.45+11.26%+2.16%-9.10
TrackWMBlair 69.55 04/24/09 Outperform NS $16.85+28.43%+26.00%+2.43
TrackPiperJaff 85.79 02/13/09 Underperform NS $8.69+149.02%+30.67%-118.36
TrackLehmanBros 85.06 06/05/08 Outperform NS $18.80+15.11%-19.87%+34.97
TrackRonBaron 59.71 09/30/07 Outperform NS $23.47-7.80%-26.38%+18.58 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackKeyBanc 90.58 04/25/07 Outperform NS $28.00-22.71%-23.78%+1.07
TrackJimCramer < 20 04/02/07 Outperform 3W $26.79-19.22%-20.26%+1.04
TrackGaryBSmith 74.46 02/10/07 Outperform 3W $26.52-18.40%-20.94%+2.53
TrackMatrix 90.36 12/20/06 Underperform NS $24.90-13.09%-20.02%-6.93
TrackFBRCapitalM 79.87 11/15/06 Outperform NS $28.65-24.47%-18.45%-6.02
TrackBobOlstein 74.19 09/29/06 Outperform 3Y $27.19-20.41%-14.80%-5.61 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackJPMorgan 84.76 09/19/06 Underperform NS $24.97-13.34%-13.87%-0.53

Results 1 - 14 of 14  

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